Favorite up or down
in three minutes?

Up or down on the probability over the next three minutes, not who wins the match. The match is what moves the number; the number is what you call.

From Polymarket. The live price of a market is its probability, and we read it. We don't set it. Open the same market and check.

Three minutes to pick, then three with the pool locked. The base is the average price over the last 30 seconds before the cutoff; the final is the average over the last 30 seconds before resolution. Higher means up. Both are averages over per-second samples, not single ticks. One print can't decide a window.

Your share of the pool, not a fixed price. The fewer people on your side, the bigger the slice.

Nobody was right, so nobody takes anything: the whole pool goes back and we take no cut. It's a decision, not a failure. The same goes for windows where the price data wasn't trustworthy.

No. The pool is made of other people's money, the odds are made by how they split, and we hold no position. We can't win, because we're not playing.

The contract has no operator withdrawal. Withdrawals are separated from picks and payouts at the function level, so our server signs the first two and physically cannot sign the third. That's checkable on-chain, not a promise.

An email or a Google account. A wallet is created for you, no seed phrase. You hold USDC on Base; picking and getting paid cost no gas.