Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi

Call this match three minutes at a time

1. 01

   Wait for the match to go live

   Once Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

2. 02

   Pick a side

   Up or down: will Carlos Alcaraz’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

3. 03

   The right side takes the pool

   Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi start?

Saturday, October 3 at 03:30 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.

Who is the favorite in Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi?

The market makes Carlos Alcaraz the favorite at 92%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.

Where does the win probability come from?

From Polymarket. The live price of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.

Can I pick a side before the match starts?

No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.