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1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

Live win probability & prediction

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar

Starts

Win probability

  • Carlos Alcaraz88%
  • Jaume Munar12%

The market makes Carlos Alcaraz the favorite at 88%.

Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.

This match isn’t live yet. Windows open once it starts.

See what’s live now

Call this match three minutes at a time

  1. 01

    Wait for the match to go live

    Once Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

  2. 02

    Pick a side

    Up or down: will Carlos Alcaraz’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

  3. 03

    The right side takes the pool

    Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar start?
Monday, October 5 at 07:00 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
Who is the favorite in Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar?
The market makes Carlos Alcaraz the favorite at 88%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
Where does the win probability come from?
From Polymarket. The live price of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
Can I pick a side before the match starts?
No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.

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