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1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

Live win probability & prediction

Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski

Live now

Win probability

  • Federico Arnaboldi9%
  • Kalin Ivanovski91%

The market makes Kalin Ivanovski the favorite at 91%.

Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.

Open the live match

Call this match three minutes at a time

  1. 01

    Wait for the match to go live

    Once Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

  2. 02

    Pick a side

    Up or down: will Federico Arnaboldi’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

  3. 03

    The right side takes the pool

    Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski start?
Monday, October 5 at 09:00 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
Who is the favorite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski?
The market makes Kalin Ivanovski the favorite at 91%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
Where does the win probability come from?
From Polymarket. The live price of the Federico Arnaboldi vs Kalin Ivanovski market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
Can I pick a side before the match starts?
No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.

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