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1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

Live win probability & prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino

Starts

Win probability

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili56%
  • Adrian Mannarino44%

The market makes Nikoloz Basilashvili the favorite at 56%.

Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.

This match isn’t live yet. Windows open once it starts.

See what’s live now

Call this match three minutes at a time

  1. 01

    Wait for the match to go live

    Once Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

  2. 02

    Pick a side

    Up or down: will Nikoloz Basilashvili’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

  3. 03

    The right side takes the pool

    Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino start?
Friday, October 23 at 06:30 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
Who is the favorite in Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino?
The market makes Nikoloz Basilashvili the favorite at 56%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
Where does the win probability come from?
From Polymarket. The live price of the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
Can I pick a side before the match starts?
No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.

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