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1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

Live win probability & prediction

Tiago Cacao vs Sergi Perez Contri

Live now

Win probability

  • Tiago Cacao72%
  • Sergi Perez Contri28%

The market makes Tiago Cacao the favorite at 72%.

Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.

Open the live match

Call this match three minutes at a time

  1. 01

    Wait for the match to go live

    Once Tiago Cacao vs Sergi Perez Contri is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

  2. 02

    Pick a side

    Up or down: will Tiago Cacao’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

  3. 03

    The right side takes the pool

    Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Tiago Cacao vs Sergi Perez Contri start?
Sunday, October 11 at 09:00 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
Who is the favorite in Tiago Cacao vs Sergi Perez Contri?
The market makes Tiago Cacao the favorite at 72%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
Where does the win probability come from?
From Polymarket. The live price of the Tiago Cacao vs Sergi Perez Contri market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
Can I pick a side before the match starts?
No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.

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