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1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

1. Open a live match, pick up or down

Every event shows one team’s chance to win: Real Madrid, 58%. Will it be higher or lower in three minutes? Choose UP or DOWN and enter an amount, say $25.

Live win probability & prediction

Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut

Starts

Win probability

  • Vilius Gaubas34%
  • Luka Mikrut66%

The market makes Luka Mikrut the favorite at 66%.

Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.

This match isn’t live yet. Windows open once it starts.

See what’s live now

Call this match three minutes at a time

  1. 01

    Wait for the match to go live

    Once Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

  2. 02

    Pick a side

    Up or down: will Vilius Gaubas’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

  3. 03

    The right side takes the pool

    Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut start?
Friday, October 9 at 01:30 PM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
Who is the favorite in Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut?
The market makes Luka Mikrut the favorite at 66%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
Where does the win probability come from?
From Polymarket. The live price of the Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
Can I pick a side before the match starts?
No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.

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