Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin

Call this match three minutes at a time

1. 01

   Wait for the match to go live

   Once Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

2. 02

   Pick a side

   Up or down: will Luka Pavlovic’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

3. 03

   The right side takes the pool

   Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin start?

Monday, October 5 at 05:30 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.

Who is the favorite in Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin?

The market makes Ilia Simakin the favorite at 67%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.

Where does the win probability come from?

From Polymarket. The live price of the Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.

Can I pick a side before the match starts?

No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.