Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio

Call this match three minutes at a time

1. 01

   Wait for the match to go live

   Once Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

2. 02

   Pick a side

   Up or down: will Michael Vrbensky’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

3. 03

   The right side takes the pool

   Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio start?

Tuesday, October 13 at 01:00 PM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.

Who is the favorite in Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio?

The market makes Raul Brancaccio the favorite at 72%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.

Where does the win probability come from?

From Polymarket. The live price of the Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.

Can I pick a side before the match starts?

No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.