Alliance vs PRIVATE

Call this match three minutes at a time

1. 01

   Wait for the match to go live

   Once Alliance vs PRIVATE is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

2. 02

   Pick a side

   Up or down: will Alliance’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

3. 03

   The right side takes the pool

   Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Alliance vs PRIVATE start?

Tuesday, October 20 at 09:00 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.

Who is the favorite in Alliance vs PRIVATE?

The market makes Alliance the favorite at 59%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.

Where does the win probability come from?

From Polymarket. The live price of the Alliance vs PRIVATE market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.

Can I pick a side before the match starts?

No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.