When does BIG vs PRIVATE start?

Monday, October 19 at 12:00 PM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.

Who is the favorite in BIG vs PRIVATE?

The market makes BIG the favorite at 67%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.

Where does the win probability come from?

From Polymarket. The live price of the BIG vs PRIVATE market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.

Can I pick a side before the match starts?

No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.

BIG vs PRIVATE: live win probability & prediction

Win probability

BIG67%
PRIVATE33%

The market makes BIG the favorite at 67%.

Polymarket probability as of 11:31 PM UTC. We read the line. We don’t set it.

This match isn’t live yet. Windows open once it starts.

See what’s live now

Call this match three minutes at a time

01
Wait for the match to go live
Once BIG vs PRIVATE is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.
02
Pick a side
Up or down: will BIG’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.
03
The right side takes the pool
Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does BIG vs PRIVATE start?: Monday, October 19 at 12:00 PM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
Who is the favorite in BIG vs PRIVATE?: The market makes BIG the favorite at 67%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
Where does the win probability come from?: From Polymarket. The live price of the BIG vs PRIVATE market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
Can I pick a side before the match starts?: No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.