Live win probability & prediction
United States vs Mexico
Starts
Win probability
United States39%- Draw or Mexico61%
The market leans toward a draw or a Mexico win: 61%.
Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.
This match isn’t live yet. Windows open once it starts.
See what’s live nowCall this match three minutes at a time
- 01
Wait for the match to go live
Once United States vs Mexico is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.
- 02
Pick a side
Up or down: will United States’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.
- 03
The right side takes the pool
Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.
About this match
- When does United States vs Mexico start?
- Sunday, October 4 at 02:07 AM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
- Who is the favorite in United States vs Mexico?
- The market leans toward a draw or a Mexico win: 61%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
- Where does the win probability come from?
- From Polymarket. The live price of the United States vs Mexico market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
- Can I pick a side before the match starts?
- No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.
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