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1. Pick a live event

Football, tennis, esports: anything running right now. Each one carries a probability from Polymarket, and it moves while the match does.

1. Pick a live event

Football, tennis, esports: anything running right now. Each one carries a probability from Polymarket, and it moves while the match does.

1. Pick a live event

Football, tennis, esports: anything running right now. Each one carries a probability from Polymarket, and it moves while the match does.

Live win probability & prediction

Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Starts

Win probability

  • Marvin Vettori45%
  • Ismail Naurdiev55%

The market makes Ismail Naurdiev the favorite at 55%.

Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.

This match isn’t live yet. Windows open once it starts.

See what’s live now

Call this match three minutes at a time

  1. 01

    Wait for the match to go live

    Once Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.

  2. 02

    Pick a side

    Up or down: will Marvin Vettori’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.

  3. 03

    The right side takes the pool

    Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.

About this match

When does Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) start?
Saturday, October 3 at 08:00 PM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
Who is the favorite in Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)?
The market makes Ismail Naurdiev the favorite at 55%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
Where does the win probability come from?
From Polymarket. The live price of the Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
Can I pick a side before the match starts?
No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.

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