Live win probability & prediction
Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Starts
Win probability
Thomas Petersen62%
Gabriel Lorenço38%
The market makes Thomas Petersen the favorite at 62%.
Polymarket probability as of . We read the line. We don’t set it.
This match isn’t live yet. Windows open once it starts.
See what’s live nowCall this match three minutes at a time
- 01
Wait for the match to go live
Once Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims) is running, a new window opens every three minutes until it ends.
- 02
Pick a side
Up or down: will Thomas Petersen’s probability be higher or lower three minutes after the cutoff? You call the line, not the winner.
- 03
The right side takes the pool
Everyone’s money sits in one pool, and whoever called it divides it. We never take a side. If the line doesn’t move, everyone gets their money back.
About this match
- When does Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims) start?
- Saturday, November 7 at 10:00 PM UTC. Windows on swell open once the match is live.
- Who is the favorite in Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)?
- The market makes Thomas Petersen the favorite at 62%. That’s the price of the Polymarket market, and it moves with the match.
- Where does the win probability come from?
- From Polymarket. The live price of the Thomas Petersen vs Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims) market is its probability. We read it. We don’t set it.
- Can I pick a side before the match starts?
- No. On swell you don’t pick the winner. You call where the probability goes in the next three minutes, and that only means something while the match is live.
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